“Vanishing Voices: An Assessment of Diverse Participation in NYC Government and Why it Matters for Communities”

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Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
“Vanishing Voices: An Assessment of Diverse Participation in NYC Government and Why it Matters for Communities”
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It’s a mixed in-person / remote presentation 5pm Monday 12 Sept 2022, 5pm at Teachers College :
Dr. Catherine DeLazzero will be joined by Dr. Jonathan Auerbach to report preliminary findings from a two year investigation of diversity on NYC community boards, which the Manhattan Borough President has described as “the independent and representative voices of their communities—the most grassroots form of local government” (2021). They will describe what enables board members to have influence on their communities through a pipeline of participation (from appointments to leadership to voice to outcomes); why some voices magnify and others disappear; barriers to inclusion, equity, and fairness; consequences for communities; and recommendations for improvement. Dr. DeLazzero and Dr. Auerbach examine “diversity” as intersections of life experience (i.e. demographics), subject matter expertise, and viewpoints. Dr. DeLazzero and Dr. Auerbach will also present new methods for assessing and visualizing diverse participation in organizations (i.e. diversity analytics). For additional work in this area, see their recent article, Linked Data Detail a Gender Gap in STEM That Persists Across Time and Place.
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Andrew on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 10, 2022 3:04 AM
Total: People are complicated. Chesterton was anti-semitic and Kazin was racist but they still had a lot of interesting things…
September 10, 2022 12:02 AM
But I agree with what you say about people saying everything has been done before.
elin on Exploratory and confirmatory data analysis
September 10, 2022 12:01 AM
I think if you look at the history of EM there are some parallels. The chapter on Tukey in The…
Doug on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 9, 2022 10:41 PM
I’m so glad to see you post about Tango; you can read a lot of his stuff here: http://www.tangotiger.com/index.php. He’s…
September 9, 2022 6:29 PM
Shouldn't you have a multi-level model of political leanings that you could plug Seth's info into?
September 9, 2022 6:18 PM
“ kinda sympathetic to Holocaust denial” Gosh (chuckles) what a cute guy! Alternatively, what the actual f***?
September 9, 2022 6:16 PM
“Some people – including myself – argue that the Federal government, universities & the press are a massive left-wing money…
September 9, 2022 5:13 PM
Bob: Yup. See my 2008 paper with Delia.
Bob Carpenter on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 4:53 PM
The U.S. isn't a pure democracy where issues are decided by popular vote. The way in which the U.S. feels…
Bob Carpenter on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 4:18 PM
I recall being told or reading at some point that alignment with the platforms of the two major U.S. political…
Bob Carpenter on Programmer position with our research group—at the University of Michigan!
September 9, 2022 4:11 PM
I just wanted to add that I've already offered to help with the Stan side of this project. Is this…
chipmunk on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 3:24 PM
"There’s little to say to someone who thinks the left is in control of the federal government, the media, etc."…
Peter Dorman on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 1:27 PM
There's little to say to someone who thinks the left is in control of the federal government, the media, etc.…
September 9, 2022 1:03 PM
Was this the Stan forum question?
chipmunk on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 12:51 PM
Andrew said: "nowadays it’s the far right where the rebels are hanging out." Peter said: "It would be a different…
Peter Dorman on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 11:26 AM
This is a fascinating topic. I agree that generalized, widespread skepticism leaves one unanchored, exposed to random attachments to whatever…
Clyde Schechter on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 10:36 AM
I think there are few people who are purely left or purely right, the attention paid to polarization these days…
Joshua on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 10:00 AM
Andrew - Yes. I think you're really on to something with the overlap between extreme skepticism and extreme credulity. Maybe…
Andrew on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 9:46 AM
Joshua: I dunno, but your comment reminded of another thing about Seth, which was his mix of extreme skepticism and…
Alex Chernavsky on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 9:37 AM
My comment isn't directly related to your post. But coincidentally, I'm currently looking to resume working on a self-experimentation project…
Joshua on Seth Roberts and political polarization
September 9, 2022 9:31 AM
I'm always asking if things are really as different from how they used to be, as it seems they are.…
Ben on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 9, 2022 9:15 AM
I heard about this one time when someone had some ODE model and was wanting to fit a really complicated…
Ben on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 9, 2022 9:10 AM
> Create test cases that mimic the real world but simplified to the point that humans can specify the optimal…
gec on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 9, 2022 7:59 AM
Cross-fitting is sometimes done to assess the relative flexibility/generalizability of non-nested models (example: https://link.springer.com/article/10.3758/s13423-010-0022-4). The basic idea is to simulate…
Anoneuoid on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 8, 2022 10:58 PM
I think most really don't understand the context of what they are doing. Eg, if the question is "what is…
the_real_tiddlydump on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 8, 2022 9:53 PM
^ All of this. Sounds like every other model is overfitting to noise. A common risk for mediocre analysts who…
Chris on The end of the pure writer/pundit
September 8, 2022 3:30 PM
You seem determined to decide what my views are based on some dreary ideological position Chipmunk. BTW you might have…
Ben on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 8, 2022 3:13 PM
Lolol this reflects my recent experience as well. Recently I started with what I already thought was a simple model…
Joshua on The end of the pure writer/pundit
September 8, 2022 2:51 PM
chipmunk - > I do know the answer: because the solutions that have been offered have not been politically feasible.…
Phil on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 8, 2022 2:32 PM
I have a great example from yesterday and today! I spent all day yesterday coding up a model in Stan…
Matt Skaggs on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 8, 2022 12:47 PM
"What do you do with minor-league stats? Injuries? Etc. I’m not saying you can’t handle these things..." Injuries are a…
chipmunk on The end of the pure writer/pundit
September 8, 2022 12:41 PM
Joshua said: "but you don’t know the answer" I do know the answer: because the solutions that have been offered…
Bill Harris on “If you could invite 5 authors (dead or alive) to a dinner party – who would they be and why?”
September 8, 2022 12:32 PM
Andrew, regarding "I’m able to use French exclusively" (I couldn't figure out how to reply to your note; I think…
chipmunk on The end of the pure writer/pundit
September 8, 2022 12:31 PM
Chris said "So it’s pretty ignorant to suggest that there aren’t workable (but v difficult) solutions" Everything in that claim…
name withheld by request on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 8, 2022 12:29 PM
An online columnist covering (American) football used to have to make a generic "cut price" prediction of NFL games. Whichever…
Roy on Exploratory and confirmatory data analysis
September 8, 2022 11:50 AM
For the life of me I can't remember for certain if the contract was with people at Yale or with…
Dale Lehman on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 8, 2022 11:12 AM
Most data competitions (Kaggle, for example) contain a benchmark result, usually using a simple model (frequently it is a Naive…
Tom Passin on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 8, 2022 10:34 AM
I sometimes trot out my pet motto, though usually in the context of programming - Start out as simple as…
Anoneuoid on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 8, 2022 10:33 AM
It sounds like his simple model wasn't overfitting while the more complicated ones were. It is really sad to read…
Ben on “You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”
September 8, 2022 10:23 AM
> I’d prefer calling it a “baseline” rather than “naive” model Yeah, my impression reading the baseline model was, dang,…
paul alper on “School is, not only not prison, it is the opposite of prison”
September 8, 2022 10:07 AM
I am a bit surprised that as yet, no one has brought up the notion that school, prison or not,…
Chris on The Course of the Pandemic: What’s the story with Excess Deaths?
September 8, 2022 9:16 AM
I didn't know that (i.e. that Unherd is on "skeptic" side). I thought it was a very strightforward and enlightening…